Weather Prague 14 Days

Prague weather forecasts for the season

Forecasts for the Prague area show the average temperatures and rainfall abnormalities for the next 6 moths in the upper right. Prediction is regionally for areas of 100 km x 100 km or more. Season forecasting provides climatic features such as averages or abnormalities for an entire calendar year.

Abnormalities are variations from the climatic mean. Thus, a downward trend in temperatures and rainfall indicates colder and dryer weather patterns than averages. Climatologic information allows little conclusions about the weather to be anticipated. It' very unlikely that every lesson of this months will be 1 degrees hotter. More realistically, some days are significantly hotter than normal, while others are averaging.

The most important thing is that there may also be a few days that are cooler or even significantly cooler than normal, so the affirmative abnormality is by no means a guaranty that it does not have e.g. freez. It is not possible to make a weather prediction for a particular day: it is less reliable than a climate averages.

This is because the weather on a everyday basis is more volatile, affected by meso-scale or micro-scale incidents, and the original factor cannot be accurately enough to make everyday weather forecasting statistical less reliable than a climate mean of about 10-14 days in advance. You' ve probably seen the unreliableness of a 10-day weather report and it's much harder to predict for several month.

Unfortunately, these climate predictions can also be more or less accurate. Therefore, a 6-month prognosis calculated today may differ from the seasonal prognosis calculated tomorrow. In order to better comprehend how quickly the seasonal prediction changes, new predictions (actually an entire ensemble) are calculated daily. All predictions are calculated within a 10-days timeframe, with three different prediction ages for the last 30 days.

So the most recent phase (0-10 days) contains the present prognosis and the prognoses of the last 10 days. The last prediction time is used to plot the charts for the next 3 month in the lower charts. When you see that predictions of different ages are very different and even contradictory, then there is little prospect of predicting the peak time.

Seasonally based predictions can be very precise in some areas and in certain circumstances. Seasonally based projections presented here are calculated by NEAA and ECMF.